Vice Chancellor Glasscock issued his valuation decision this week in the BMC Software case, which we have previously blogged about concerning its threshold ruling rejecting any share-tracing requirements and thus allowing appraisal arbitrageurs to proceed with a valuation case. As we have previously reported, Merion Capital was seeking a 45% premium to the merger price, while BMC Software argued that the fair value was actually far below the merger price.

Merger Price Reflected Fair Value in This Deal

In rendering his decision, the Vice Chancellor once again looked to merger price as a measure of fair value, as he did in the Ancestry.com decision. Perhaps most interesting was his discussion of synergies toward the end of the opinion, in which he hypothesized that if Company B, holding a patent on the bow, found it advantageous to acquire Company A, a manufacturer of arrows, “synergies could result from the combination that would not have composed part of the going concern or the market value of Company A, pre-merger,” in which case Company B might value Company A more highly than the market ordinarily would. In this situation the court would be required to deduct any such synergistic value from the merger price. However, in this particular case, the acquisition was not strategic but financial, and while Respondent pointed to tax savings and other cost savings that it claims it would have realized as a private entity, the court refused to discount the merger price for any synergies.

The court further noted that receiving fair value is not necessarily the same as going concern value, and that any tax or other take-private savings may not be subject to exclusion from the awarded price as synergistic, but those savings could indeed be excludable from the going-concern value. The evidence in this case did not demonstrate any specific dollar-per-share value attributable to such savings, so the court refused to so discount the merger price. In a footnote, Vice Chancellor Glasscock said that the requirement to reduce from fair value any “non-speculative increases in value requiring a change in corporate form” was an “artifact of the policy decision to engraft ‘going concern’ valuation onto the explicit language of the appraisal statute itself,” citing Union Illinois.

The court also rejected Respondent’s request to deduct synergies based on take-private cost savings because they required a 23% internal rate of return in their business model to justify the acquisition, which raised the question of “whether the synergies present in a going-private sale represent a true premium to the alternatives of selling to a public company or remaining independent.” Thus, it was unclear whether any alleged going-private savings outweighed the buyer’s rate of return that was required “to justify the leverage presumably used to generate those savings.”

The Court’s DCF Exceeded Merger Price

The parties relied exclusively on their own DCF models, finding a comparable companies or precedent transactions analysis unreliable. Likewise, the court did its own DCF analysis and came up with a $48 per share price, exceeding the $46.25 merger price that it ultimately found to be fair value. The Vice Chancellor said that he was reluctant to use his own valuation and instead deferred to merger price, given the optimism inherent in the management projections; the raging debate within the academic community over the proper equity-risk premium to apply (thus undermining the reliability of his discount rate); and the difficulties in predicting the accurate terminal growth rate, which could be anywhere in between the floor of inflation and GDP (here, the court had picked the midpoint of those two measures in setting its own terminal rate). In this respect, the court’s DCF valuation, which exceeded merger price, was different from that in Ancestry.com, where the court’s own DCF came up just short of the merger price.

Sale Process

In examining the merger process itself, the court found the process to be robust insofar as there were two auctions conducted for several months each, and there were a total of five financial sponsors and eight strategic entities considering the acquisition. There was a go-shop clause, as a result of which the company contacted sixteen bidders — seven financial and nine strategic — which resulted in no alternative offers. And finally, in an arguable blurring of the line between fiduciary duty actions and appraisal rights (a subject on which we’ve posted several times before), the court explicitly looked to the settlement of the class action fiduciary duty litigation as an indication that the process was found to be free of any irregularities or fiduciary duty violations. In particular, the court found significant that the company’s activist investor, Elliot Associates, who had pressured the company to sell, was also forced to conclude that the auction itself was “a fair process.”

Other DCF Valuation Metrics

As to some of the basic valuation metrics (which were used to calculate the court’s own DCF that it ultimately refused to utilize in favor of the merger price):

  • The court adopted a supply-side equity risk premium, finding that it had already been done in Golden Telecom and Orchard Enterprises and is thus indicative of the “Court’s practice of the recent past.” The court found a preference for using forward-looking data as opposed to the historical or the supply-side approach, notwithstanding the continuing debate within academe concerning the more reliable method.
  • The court reaffirmed that inflation is generally the floor for a terminal value, and here, since there was no evidence to suggest that the growth rate should be limited to inflation, the court ultimately chose a growth rate at the midpoint of inflation and GDP, which was 3.25%.
  • The court found it appropriate to include a reasonable offset for the tax associated with repatriating offshore cash, rejecting Petitioner’s argument that the company’s plan to keep that money offshore indefinitely should translate to no offset at all. We have seen this same point argued (and now pending before the court) in the Dell appraisal case as well.
  • As is true of many tech companies, BMC had a sizable stock-based compensation (SBC) policy, which the court found was required to be accounted for, and further found reasonable to treat as an expense, particularly because this practice was expected to continue into the future. The court thus agreed with Respondent’s expert, who treated SBC as a cash expense, as opposed to Petitioner’s expert, who didn’t account for future SBC at all.

While the court seemed to take a jab at Petitioner for being “arbitrageurs who bought, not into an ongoing concern, but instead into this lawsuit,” nothing in this opinion referred back to or otherwise altered its prior ruling allowing appraisal arbitrage to proceed unfettered by a constraint such as the share-tracing requirement that BMC had asked the court to impose.